Virtual California Papers

Linear pattern dynamics in nonlinear threshold systems

John B. Rundle, W. Klein, Kristy Tiampo and Susanna Gross. Physical Review E, vol. 61, no. 3, p. 2418-2431. March 2000.

Nonlinear Network Dynamics on Earthquake Fault Systems

Paul B. Rundle, John B. Rundle, Kristy F. Tiampo, Jorge S. Sa Martins, Seth McGinnis, and W. Klein. Physical Review Letters, vol. 87, no. 14. October 2001.

Gutenberg-Richter statistics in topologically realistic system-level earthquake stress-evolution simulations

John B. Rundle, Paul B. Rundle, Andrea Donnellan, and Geoffrey Fox. Earth Planets Space, vol. 56, p. 761–771. 2004.

A simulation-based approach to forecasting the next great San Francisco earthquake

J. B. Rundle, P. B. Rundle, A. Donnellan, D. L. Turcotte, R. Shcherbakov, P. Li, B. D. Malamud
, L. B. Grant, G. C. Fox, D. McLeod, G. Yakovlev, J. Parker, W. Klein, and K. F. Tiampo. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,  vol. 102,  no. 43, p. 15363–15367. October 2005.

Stress transfer in earthquakes, hazard estimation and ensemble forecasting: Inferences from numerical simulations

John B. Rundle, Paul B. Rundle, Andrea Donnellan, P. Li, W. Klein, Gleb Morein, D.L. Turcotte, Lisa Grant. Tectonophysics, v. 413, iss. 1-2, p. 109-125. February 2006.

Virtual California: Fault Model, Frictional Parameters, Applications

P. B. Rundle, J. B. Rundle, K. F. Tiampo, A. Donnellan and D. L. Turcotte. Pure and Applied Geophysics, vol. 163, no. 9, pp. 1819-1846. September 2006.

The Future Role of Numerical Simulations in RELM Forecasts

John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte, and Paul B. Rundle. Preprint.