Hotspot Papers

Self-organization in leaky threshold systems: The influence of near-mean field dynamics and its implications for earthquakes, neurobiology, and forecasting

J. B. Rundle, K. F. Tiampo, W. Klein, and J. S. Sa Martins. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 99, suppl. 1, p. 2514-2521. February 2002.

Mean-field threshold systems and phase dynamics: An application to earthquake fault systems

K. F. Tiampo, J. B. Rundle, S. McGinnis, S. J. Gross, and W. Klein. Europhysics Letters, vol. 60, no. 3, p. 481-487. November 2002.

Statistical physics approach to understanding the multiscale dynamics of earthquake fault systems

John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte, Robert Shcherbakov, William Klein, and Charles Sammis. Reviews of Geophysics, Vol. 41, No. 4, 1019. December 2003.

The 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, earthquake as a typical example of seismic activation and quiescence

Chien-Chih Chen, John B. Rundle, James R. Holliday, Kazuyoshi Z. Nanjo, Donald L. Turcotte, Shian-Chi Li, and Kristy F. Tiampo. Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 32, iss. 22, id L22315. November 2005.

Earthquake forecasting and its verification

J. R. Holliday, K. Z. Nanjo, K. F. Tiampo , J. B. Rundle, and D. L. Turcotte. Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, vol. 12, p. 965-967. November 2005.

Modification of the pattern informatics method for forecasting large earthquake events using complex eigenfactors

J.R. Holliday, J.B. Rundle, K.F. Tiampo, W. Klein, A. Donnellan. Tectonophysics, vol. 413, iss. 1-2, p. 87–91. February 2006.

From Tornadoes to Earthquakes: Forecast Verification for Binary Events Applied to the 1999 Chi-Chi, Taiwan, Earthquake

Chien-chih Chen, John B. Rundle, James R. Holliday, Kazuyoshi Z. Nanjo, Donald L. Turcotte, Shian-Chi Li and Kristy F. Tiampo. Terr. Atmos. Ocean. Sci., vol. 17, no. 3, p. 503-516. September 2006.

Space-Time Clustering and Correlations of Major Earthquakes

James R. Holliday, John B. Rundle, Donald L. Turcotte, William Klein, Kristy F. Tiampo, and Andrea Donnellan. "Physical Review Letters" vol. 97, 238501. December 2006.

Forecasting the location of large future earthquakes in Japan and its forecast verification

K. Z. Nanjo, J. R. Holliday, C-C. Chen, J. B. Rundle, and D. L. Turcotte. Preprint.

A RELM earthquake forecast based on pattern informatics

James R. Holliday, Chien-chih Chen, Kristy F. Tiampo, John B. Rundle, and Donald L. Turcotte. Preprint.